Poisson Distribution Calculator

Easily calculate Poisson probabilities and visualize the distribution.

Understanding Poisson Distribution

The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that describes the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event.

  • It is often used to model the number of rare events such as accidents, defects, or arrivals in queues.
  • Key parameters are: λ (lambda), the average rate of events.
  • Formula: $$P(X=k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}$$, where k is the number of events.

The average number of events per interval (must be non-negative).

The number of events for which to calculate the probability (must be non-negative integer).

Probability of events:

$$P(X=) = $$

Poisson Distribution Visualization

Poisson Distribution: Quick Guide

What is Poisson Distribution?

Poisson distribution is used to model the probability of a certain number of events happening within a fixed interval of time or space. It's applicable when events occur randomly and independently at a constant average rate. Examples include the number of phone calls received by a call center per hour, or the number of emails received per day.

Key Concepts

  • λ (Lambda): Represents the average rate of events. It's a crucial parameter that defines the distribution.
  • k: The number of events you want to find the probability for.
  • Independence: Events must be independent of each other.
  • Constant Rate: The average rate of events (λ) must be constant over the interval.

Formula

The probability of exactly k events occurring is given by: $$P(X=k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}$$ Where:

  • P(X=k) is the probability of k events occurring
  • λ is the average rate of events
  • e is Euler's number (approximately 2.71828)
  • k! is the factorial of k